Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.529351 0.589125 0.653718 0.728840 0.813973 0.907650 1.018793
2025-03-30 0.426809 0.507028 0.600399 0.717671 0.861813 1.034193 1.257447
2025-04-06 0.371284 0.460375 0.569300 0.713373 0.900564 1.137775 1.464682
2025-04-13 0.320936 0.411328 0.526142 0.684307 0.899075 1.184217 1.597616
2025-04-20 0.295452 0.389981 0.514222 0.691773 0.942768 1.290637 1.819418
2025-04-27 0.274862 0.372352 0.504418 0.699451 0.985352 1.397409 2.051668
2025-05-04 0.256948 0.356283 0.494564 0.704946 1.023755 1.500129 2.287878
2025-05-11 0.240519 0.340598 0.483400 0.706651 1.055460 1.594418 2.520258
2025-05-18 0.228073 0.329449 0.477521 0.715088 1.097307 1.707323 2.794898
2025-05-25 0.210833 0.309735 0.457106 0.698872 1.097827 1.752759 2.959141
2025-06-01 0.201922 0.301886 0.453965 0.709330 1.142110 1.874105 3.270258
2025-06-08 0.190287 0.288916 0.441738 0.703713 1.158394 1.948360 3.503454
2025-06-15 0.181948 0.280752 0.436820 0.710257 1.196976 2.067200 3.839559
2025-06-22 0.171025 0.267712 0.423074 0.700644 1.206086 2.133571 4.082155
2025-06-29 0.162144 0.257379 0.412989 0.696375 1.224107 2.217754 4.371147
2025-07-06 0.149701 0.240331 0.390438 0.668101 1.194758 2.207635 4.459920
2025-07-13 0.144469 0.235107 0.387706 0.675365 1.233306 2.334553 4.862221
2025-07-20 0.139652 0.230268 0.385260 0.682836 1.272725 2.467045 5.295628
2025-07-27 0.134840 0.225121 0.381881 0.688182 1.308218 2.594860 5.736601
2025-08-03 0.129808 0.219271 0.376830 0.689841 1.336195 2.709361 6.162388
2025-08-10 0.126048 0.215465 0.375230 0.698050 1.378415 2.859344 6.698901
2025-08-17 0.119249 0.205760 0.362102 0.682273 1.368107 2.890177 6.934624
2025-08-24 0.116317 0.202994 0.361818 0.692448 1.414929 3.057113 7.555843